技术战略管理中的两种关键因素分析--技术进步趋势与技术预测   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

杨省贵  陈新 《成都信息工程学院学报》2003,18(3):323-327

技术战略是关系到企业能否把握机遇，在竞争中取胜的关键。我们重点分析了技术进步趋势以及技术预测在技术战略管理中的重要地位；提出只有在深入了解技术进步的趋势以及做出准确技术预测的情况下，才能进行有效的技术战略管理。  相似文献   

Robe's restricted three-body problem with drag     

C. M. Giordano  A. R. Plastino  A. Plastino 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》1996,66(2):229-242

Robe's restricted three-body problem is investigated with regards to the effects of a linear drag force. In particular. the stability of the model's equilibrium points is studied in this respect. Two scenarios are envisaged: the one originally discussed by Robe himself and the one suggested by him and recently analyzed by the present authors, that assumes for the fluid body the structure of a Roche's ellipsoid.  相似文献   

Robe's restricted three-body problem revisited     

A. R. Plastino  A. Plastino 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》1995,61(2):197-206

Robe's restricted three-body problem is reanalyzed with a view to incorporate a new assumption, namely that the configuration of the fluid body is that described by an hydrostatic equilibrium figure (Roche's ellipsoid). In the concomitant gravitational field a full treatment of the buoyancy force is given. The pertinent equations of motion are derived, the linear stability of the equilibrium solution is studied and the connection between the effect of the buoyancy forces and a perturbation of the Coriolis force is pointed out.  相似文献   

甘南牧区劳动力转移背景下留守农户生计策略选择          下载免费PDF全文

苏芳  郑亚萍 《干旱区地理》2018,41(4):826-832

劳动力转移的行为和经历对贫困农（牧）户的生计产生了并继续产生着复杂而深远的影响,并构成了留守家庭成员进行新的生计选择的背景和前提条件。在资本变动和要素约束下,西部民族地区农（牧）户进行着不同的生产决策,并形成不同类型的生计策略。以甘南牧区为例,通过解析劳动力转移的特征变量,总结典型的劳动力转移农（牧）户家庭主要的生计策略模式,揭示了甘南牧区劳动力转移对留守农（牧）户生计策略选择的作用关系,并得出相应的结论。结果表明：转移劳动力文化水平、劳动力转移的外出时间、务工去向与转移劳动力工种类型在一定程度上影响了留守农（牧）户生计策略的选择。这可为西部民族地区政府部门制定科学、合理、可持续的劳动力资源利用政策,促进当地农（牧）户生计的可持续发展提供参考依据。  相似文献   

Oil and gas development exposure and conservation scenarios for Greater sage-grouse: Combining spatially explicit modeling with GIS visualization provides critical information for management decisions     

《Applied geography (Sevenoaks, England)》2017

During the last quarter-century, global demand for energy has increased by more than 60%, and a similar increase is anticipated to occur by 2030 (Raymond, Deming, & Nichols, 2007). In the U.S., oil and gas development is projected to continue across western states within sage-grouse habitat. Greater sage-grouse, recently a candidate species for protection under the Endangered Species Act (ESA), have well documented negative responses to oil and gas disturbance. In this study, we create spatially-explicit oil and gas future development scenarios, baseline and high, and link them to sage-grouse population and habitat maps to quantify future exposure risk within Western Association of Fish and Wildlife Agencies (WAFWA) sage-grouse management zones (MZ) I and II. We then analyze recent land use decisions from the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) along with enacted policy from the State of Wyoming to estimate how these management actions might minimize the exposure risk of sage-grouse to oil and gas development into the future. Our results show that BLM and Wyoming conservation plans could reduce the exposure of sage-grouse to oil and gas development from 15-27% to 11–17% (31–37% reduction) in MZ I and from 15-27% to 5–9% (64–68% reduction) in MZ II. Our estimates of exposure to future oil and gas development, and conservation measures designed to ameliorate those threats, represent the upper and lower extents of potential impacts within scenarios. Our work demonstrates how spatial modeling and GIS visualization can be used by managers to assess likely outcomes of conservation decisions.  相似文献   

Willingness and Participation of Local Communities to Manage Communal Grazing Lands in the Lake Tana Biosphere,Ethiopia     

Dagninet Amare  Wolde Mekuria  Beyene Belay 《社会与自然资源》2017,30(6):674-689

Sustainable management of communal grazing lands in Ethiopia is crucial to sustain livestock productivity and reduce land degradation. This study was conducted in Dera district, Ethiopia, to assess local communities’ perceptions of the degradation and their attitudes on the management of communal grazing lands. Household surveys, group discussions, and the contingent valuation method were used to gather data. Results indicated that local communities are aware of the degradation and are willing to participate in the management of communal grazing lands by contributing labor and cash. Labor contribution is positively and significantly correlated to total livestock units (TLU) and credit, and negatively correlated with household size and extension service. Significant correlation between the willingness to contribute cash and TLU was also detected. Community participation and discussions, demarcation of boundaries, equity in benefit sharing, and engaging both formal and informal institutions are crucial to sustain and enhance the effectiveness of grazing land management.  相似文献   

协调发展导向的宁夏空间规划战略实施对策研究     

侯景伟 《测绘与空间地理信息》2017,(12):17-20

研究《宁夏空间发展战略规划》的实施对策,对落实规划总体战略、促进宁夏协调发展具有重要的战略意义。实施"一主三副"战略,推进区域协调发展,重点破解区域发展中差别化不明显的问题;实施"两带两轴"战略,推进城乡协调发展,重点破解城乡二元结构问题;实施"产业集群"战略,推进经济社会协调发展,重点破解产业支撑能力弱的问题;实施"山河为脉"战略,推进人与自然协调发展,重点破解发展的粗放低效和资源约束问题;实施"内陆开放"战略,推进区内开发与对外开放协调发展,重点破解国内开放与国外开放程度较低的问题。  相似文献   

青藏高原边缘地区晚更新世人类遗存与生存模式   总被引：7，自引：1，他引：6       下载免费PDF全文

高星  周振宇  关莹 《第四纪研究》2008,28(6):969-977

自20世纪80年代在青海小柴旦发现旧石器遗存以来,青藏高原边缘地区已经发现了10余处旧石器时代遗址,年代属晚更新世晚期。这些遗存显示,古人类在距今30ka左右开始尝试向这些高海拔地区扩散,但直至距今15ka以后才有更多的人群迁徙至此。通过对这些遗存分布位置、古环境特征、年代测定和石器技术、组合分析,得以管窥古人类对该地区的开发利用过程,并进而阐释史前人类技术发展、生存模式演变和古环境的耦合关系。  相似文献   

自然灾害韧弹性社会的理论范式   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

吴绍洪  高江波  韦炳干  张继权  郭桂桢  王军  邓浩宇  刘路路  贺山峰  许尔琪 《地理学报》2021,76(5):1136-1147

全球环境变化和经济快速发展导致自然灾害的增加,已经成为现代人类社会最严重的环境问题之一。面对自然灾害风险防控的严峻形势,人类社会必须建设得足够强大,以应对可能发生的自然灾害风险。在提出“构筑自然灾害韧弹性社会减轻自然灾害风险”的基础上,本文重点分析韧弹性的确切涵义,通过综合灾害防御、损害恢复和应急管控,诠释自然灾害韧弹性社会的内涵、组分和结构;建立自然灾害韧弹性社会的指标体系和定量表征方法,评估案例区自然灾害韧弹性社会的状况;进而针对城乡差异设计建设自然灾害韧弹性社会的途径。依此,系统性地构建了包括概念—结构—指标—途径的自然灾害韧弹性社会理论范式。建设自然灾害韧弹性社会是人类的必然选择,这与社会经济可持续发展高度一致。研究旨在推动综合应对自然灾害风险,探索建设“更强、更安全、更持续”的自然灾害韧弹性社会途径,支撑国家防灾减灾战略转变、实施“关键领域与薄弱环节九大工程”。  相似文献   

基于PPT战略的广东省乐昌市生态旅游扶贫模式探讨   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

何继红  孙冰  施招婉  罗水兴  王旭  陈雷  熊鹰  林军  裴男才 《热带地理》2021,41(3):645-655

以贫困人口受益为出发点,基于有利于贫困人口发展的旅游（Pro-Poor Tourism, PPT）战略,以广东省乐昌市为例,开展适用于中国南方林区生态旅游扶贫开发的发展模式和旅游扶贫产业的发展路径研究。结果表明：1）政府部门、旅游企业、乡村社区和非营利社会组织都应在提升贫困人口参与度、减轻贫困和生态保护方面承担责任,具体为：政府部门应主导搭建平台和监管落实,旅游企业合理利用生态资源,乡村社区和非营利社会组织相互支持并协助以推进拟定的旅游扶贫发展模式;2）针对乐昌市“生态林木、高山名茶、特色蔬果”等3种特有生态资源,提出以“茶、林、蔬果”三大特色农林资源为抓手的生态旅游发展方式,并提炼出三条适用于乐昌市的产业发展路径,具体为：“休闲农业+特色林果产业+旅游电商产业”“林下休闲业+林下经济产业+林产品初加工”和“森林生态旅游+特色林业种植+自然生态教育”。基于PPT战略,旅游扶贫开发需协调好政府部门、旅游企业、乡村社区和非营利社会组织的关系,只有这四大参与主体共同兼顾生态旅游扶贫开发中的经济、社会和环境效益,才能最终实现PPT战略的经济发展、贫困社区发展、贫困人口与生态可持续发展这三大层次目标。  相似文献